Review of Finance Advance Access published online on July 14, 2009
Review of Finance, doi:10.1093/rof/rfp015
A Long-Run Risks Model of Asset Pricing with Fat Tails*
Department of Economics, Florida International University
We explore the effects of fat tails on the equilibrium implications of the long-run risks model of asset pricing by introducing innovations with dampened power law to consumption and dividends growth processes. We estimate the model structural parameters by maximum likelihood. We find that the stochastic volatility model with fat tails can generate implied risk premium, expected risk free rate and their volatilities comparable to the magnitudes observed in data. The model with fat tails leads to a significant increase in implied risk premia over the benchmark Gaussian model, but similar values for other equilibrium quantities of interest.
JEL Classification: E43, G12, G13
* We thank an anonymous referee, Bernard Dumas (the editor) and participants at the 2008 FMA Doctoral Student Consortium, 2009 MFA Annual Conference, seminar participants at Florida International University, the University of Macau, South Dakota State University for their valuable comments. Zhiguang (Gerald) Wang is especially grateful to Dr. Albert "Pete" Kyle for his insightful comments. He also acknowledges Dissertation Year Fellowship from Florida International University. All errors remain our own.